AGP Executive Report
Last update: an hour agoStrait of Hormuz Pressure: Oil prices jumped over 4% to about $88–$89/bbl as the US-Iran fight widened and the waterway’s disruption risk stayed front and center, with the IEA warning energy security could worsen if flows don’t improve soon. MoU Breakdown: Iran says it has suspended commitments under the interim US-Iran MoU as strikes intensify, while the US says it has continued a seventh straight night of attacks on Iranian military and infrastructure targets. Gulf Infrastructure Hit: Kuwait reported damage and fires after Iranian strikes on a power and water desalination plant and an oil facility, injuring firefighters and an oil worker; desalination vulnerability is now a key theme across the region. US Casualties in Jordan: CENTCOM confirmed two US service members killed and one missing after Iranian ballistic missile and drone attacks on a Jordan base, the first deaths from direct Iranian fire since the war’s early days. Diplomacy & Exports: Iraq and Syria signed an MoU to build a crude export pipeline to Syria’s Mediterranean coast to diversify routes away from Hormuz, with capacity to be set in a technical study. Regional Energy Security Warning: Iran warned UAE airports and ports could be targeted if the US strikes Iranian civilian infrastructure, raising the stakes for Gulf logistics.
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