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US Says 80-85 Percent Chance Iran Deal Signs Within Days

(MENAFN) A senior Trump administration official said Friday that the United States expects to finalize a long-sought agreement to end its conflict with Iran within the "next few days," placing the probability of a signing at 80 to 85% — and rising.

"We do expect to be signing this agreement over the next few days. I can't give you an exact date, and if I were to give you a confidence that we were going to be signing this agreement, I maybe would have said 75% this morning. It's probably more like 80, 85% now," the official told reporters on a conference call.

Nuclear Dismantlement at the Core
At the heart of the emerging deal is a sweeping commitment by Tehran to roll back its nuclear capabilities. The official said the agreement "leads to the dismantling of the Iranian nuclear program," as well as the US "getting the enriched material." Enriched uranium would first be destroyed within Iran before being transferred out of the country entirely, the official confirmed.

Crucially, Washington stopped short of demanding a full prohibition on Iranian nuclear activity. The official signaled openness to Tehran maintaining a civilian nuclear program, drawing a firm line only at the infrastructure that could enable a rapid pivot to weapons development.

"We're not bothered at all by the idea of civilian power plants in Iran. What we're bothered by is the type of infrastructure that would allow them to jump from civilian power generation to nuclear weapons development, and that's what they've had for a very long time," the official said.

A Regional Peace Blueprint — Including Lebanon and Israel
Beyond the nuclear file, the official described a sweeping regional peace framework embedded within the agreement. The deal "guarantees a long-term peace in the region, and that would mean, of course, that the Iranians are no longer funding violence in the region," the official said.

That regional architecture explicitly encompasses Lebanon — where Israel is currently engaged in an ongoing invasion and occupation of the country's south — as well as Gulf states and Israel itself.

"It includes Lebanon, it includes Iran, it includes the Gulf Coast countries, and includes Israel, and we feel quite confident that all of our allies, the Israelis and the Gulf Coast coalition, will get on board," the official said.

Sanctions Relief on the Table
As an incentive for compliance, Iran stands to gain sweeping economic relief from years of punishing international sanctions. The official framed the offer as a pathway back into the global economy — conditional on Tehran honoring its commitments.

"If they comply, they're going to be relieved of a lot of the economic pressures that they've been under for many, many years, so they do get reintegrated into the world economy," he said.

On the logistics of a formal signing, negotiators are still weighing potential venues. The official said Washington is keen to hold the ceremony at a location where both Pakistani and Qatari mediators — who played instrumental roles in brokering the talks — will be present.

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